Carina Northwood

Carina Northwood writes about technology on realistic timelines. Her work examines how innovation unfolds in practice, why change takes longer than expected, when breakthroughs actually matter, and what happens in the long interval between announcement and adoption.

She is interested in the forces that slow technological change even when progress is obvious. These include institutional inertia, coordination costs, regulatory lag, and the friction of existing systems. Delay, in her work, is not a failure of innovation but a feature of how complex technologies enter the world.

Always Longer Than Expected develops this perspective through case studies from computing, energy, transportation, and biotechnology. Northwood writes for readers who must make decisions under uncertainty, including investors, policymakers, and strategists who need to understand not just what is possible, but what is likely to arrive, and when.

Her perspective is grounded in attention to structure, incentives, and time.